November 17, 2021
General News

Geopolitical hotspot: China and Taiwan

Tim Marshall is a journalist, broadcaster and author of Prisoners of Geography and Divided: Why We’re Living in an Age of Walls

This year many foreign affairs analysts have asked the question: ‘Is China about to invade Taiwan?’ General Sun Tzu probably had the answer about 2,500 years ago – ‘The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting’. Given that Chinese authorities typically take the long view, a better question is: ‘Why would the Communist Party risk everything by invading?’ 

An amphibious assault is probably the most difficult military tactic there is. An unsuccessful invasion would create a massive loss of confi dence in the Party. Even a successful invasion would probably result in economic sanctions and a decoupling of the major economies from China’s system, which depends on exports. This in turn would wreck its economy, leading to…

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